TaiwanTracker

About Taiwan Tracker

Taiwan Tracker is a personal project to pull together the most useful public risk indicators in one place, updated continuously. Right now the first layer of data comes from prediction markets. More data sources are being added soon.

This is an independent project, run by one person. No affiliation with any government, news organisation, think tank, or forecasting platform.

How do prediction markets work? Read the explainer →

Data sources

Disclaimer

This site is for informational purposes only. Nothing here constitutes financial, investment, political, military, or strategic advice of any kind.

Prediction market probabilities reflect the collective bets of traders on specific platforms at a specific moment in time. They are not intelligence assessments, official government positions, or academic forecasts. Markets can be wrong — sometimes badly. They can be influenced by misinformation, low liquidity, or collective miscalibration.

Do not use anything on this site to make decisions about travel, investment, personal safety, or anything else consequential. If you need reliable risk assessment for serious purposes, consult qualified professionals with access to primary sources.

This project makes no guarantees about the accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the data shown. API responses from third-party platforms may be delayed, incorrect, or unavailable. Market data is displayed as-is from source platforms.

Contact

Feedback, data issues, or market suggestions: